Investors will be watching for developments on the U.S.-China trade front, with a new round of negotiations set to be held in Beijing later this week.
“The reality is that olive branches, rather than rose stalks, are the best that anyone (anchored to reality) may be looking for,” said Mizuho Bank in a morning note.
It pointed to “restraints” overhanging these talks.
“First, as of late last week, President Trump had declared that he would not be meeting with President Xi before the deadline (1st Mar) on the US-China trade truce expires,” the note said.
“However, Trump has also categorically stated that there will be no US-China trade deal till he and President Xi have met. Therefore that is as good a guaranteeing that there will be no deal before the US-China truce expires.” That, the note said, not only “contradicts” Trump’s earlier tweets enthusing about a deal in the works, but also “begs the question” of whether that meant higher tariffs on Chinese imports.
The Wall Street Journal reported last Friday that the two countries have not yet put together a draft on the matters they agree or disagree. The report comes as both Washington and Beijing are attempting to strike a deal on trade before a key early March deadline, following which additional tariffs will be slapped on Chinese imports to the U.S.
It also follows U.S. President Donald Trump saying on Thursday he will not meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping before that deadline. White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow also said there is a “pretty sizable distance to go” before China and the U.S. reach a deal.